Regional Urban Economy
Mohammad Reza Jokar; zahra dehghan shabani
Abstract
1- Introduction:The study examines the relationship between industrial diversity and manufacturing employment volatility in Iranian provinces. Regional employment volatility, characterized by significant fluctuations in employment levels, can lead to economic instability and high unemployment, as displaced ...
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1- Introduction:The study examines the relationship between industrial diversity and manufacturing employment volatility in Iranian provinces. Regional employment volatility, characterized by significant fluctuations in employment levels, can lead to economic instability and high unemployment, as displaced workers struggle to find new jobs. Understanding the factors that influence employment volatility is crucial for policymakers seeking to promote regional economic stability.2- MethodologyThis paper investigates the effect of industrial diversity on manufacturing employment volatility in 27 Iranian provinces from 2001 to 2019. The authors utilize a panel data model and the System Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation technique to account for the dynamic nature of employment volatility and address potential endogeneity issues.3- ResultsThe findings suggest that increased industrial diversity has a negative and statistically significant effect on manufacturing employment volatility in Iranian provinces. This indicates that a more diversified industrial base can help stabilize regional employment levels and mitigate the adverse impacts of economic shocks. The results have important policy implications, as they suggest that promoting industrial diversification could be an effective strategy for reducing employment volatility and enhancing the resilience of local labor markets in Iran.Additionally, the results show a U-shaped relationship between employment growth rates and employment volatility. The employment volatility in previous period, industrial structure change, and inflation volatility have a positive impact, while the size of factories and the ratio of employment in capital-intensive and knowledge-based industries have a negative impact on employment volatility.4- ConclusionThe study contributes to the existing literature by providing empirical evidence on the role of industrial diversity in shaping regional employment volatility, with a focus on the understudied context of Iranian provinces. The findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and regional development planners seeking to foster more stable and resilient local economies.
Regional Urban Economy
Naser Barakpour; Arash Sadeghian
Abstract
AbstractIn recent decades, free trade zones have rapidly emerged in developing countries such as Iran. The primary objective behind establishing these zones has been economic progress at the regional or national levels, with less attention paid to the development of local communities. Existing experiences ...
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AbstractIn recent decades, free trade zones have rapidly emerged in developing countries such as Iran. The primary objective behind establishing these zones has been economic progress at the regional or national levels, with less attention paid to the development of local communities. Existing experiences indicate the impact of these zones on urban growth and the interests of cities and villages within them in various economic, social, physical, and environmental dimensions. Indeed, the positive or negative transformations in these areas have a direct and indirect correlation with the success and achievement of the initial goals of these zones. Therefore, the identification and analysis of the types of causes and their effects are crucial.This research aims to investigate and analyze the effects of the formation of the Maku Free Trade Zone on its local communities (including the cities of Maku, Bazargan, Poldasht, Shute, and Marganlar) using document analysis and surveys. The results indicate that, firstly, urban growth has been relatively limited, with the influential domain encompassing the development of urban infrastructure, transportation networks, and tourism-related land uses. Secondly, local communities in this area have, to a large extent, had relatively minimal shares in terms of equal opportunities, participation, a sense of ownership and belonging, trust, satisfaction with housing, and the urban environment.Keywords: Free Trade Zones, Urban Growth, Local Community, Maku Free Trade Zone
Regional Urban Economy
zeinab baradaran; zahra azari; hossein panahi
Abstract
Extended abstract
1-INTRODUCTION
Economic theories and experiences of different countries show that there are different paths for economic growth and development, and the rate of growth and development depends on what sectors of the economy to invest in. the growth rate also varies according to the ...
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Extended abstract
1-INTRODUCTION
Economic theories and experiences of different countries show that there are different paths for economic growth and development, and the rate of growth and development depends on what sectors of the economy to invest in. the growth rate also varies according to the sectors in which it is invested. for this reason, the production system is usually divided into two parts: production and consumer goods, and it is often said that the productive goods sector is the driving force of growth. therefore, in the long run, maximizing growth depends on allocating as much investment as possible to key sectors of the economy.
2-THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
In general, growth and development theories are classified into three main groups in order to identify the importance of economic sectors and how resources are allocated: balanced growth theory, unbalanced growth theory and growth pole theory. Rosenstein-Roden (1943), the founder of the theory of balanced growth, argues that one sector alone cannot provide economic development, but if several sectors start producing with increasing and related returns, so that each demand for the product provide another, economic development will be possible. due to the skepticism of the theory of balanced growth, the theory of unbalanced growth was proposed in the economic literature by Hirschman (1958). according to this theory, investment should be made in sectors so that the benefits of this investment penetrate into other economic sectors and investment conditions are provided in these sectors. in this theory, Hirschman (1958) believes that in order to achieve development, we have to choose one or more projects from different investment plans, according to our possibilities. other categories of theories for providing a path to development are known as growth pole theories. other categories of theories for providing a path to development are known as growth pole theories, first proposed by Peru (1968) in the economic literature. Peru’s innovative concept is actually derived from Schumpeter’s idea that growth is a direct and indirect product of innovation. in Peru’s theory, simultaneous growth does not occur everywhere, but at points or poles of development that have high gravity. these points spread development through channels and affect the entire economy.
3- METHODOLOGY
The aim of this study is to identify the key core of the infrastructure sector of East Azerbaijan province with the multi-sector analysis (MSA) approach. In the first step, this research extracts information and communication technology as the key subdivision of the infrastructure sector of the province using MSA analytical model and Excel software and extracts the most important criteria in this sector. In the next step of this study, the SWOT method examined the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats of the key core extracted from the MSA analysis, and using the Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix (QSPM) method, the proposed strategies were prioritized.
4- RESULTS & DISCUSSION
The results indicate that at the level of subsectors, ICT as a key core with 0.72 points and at the level of criteria, creating high added value, improving production capacity (process, equipment and technology) and absorption. Foreign capital is the most important, respectively. On the other hand, information and communication technology is also known as the most influential and influential sub-sector. Research findings show that information and communication technology has not found its proper place in East Azerbaijan province.
5- CONCLUSIONS & SUGGESTIONS
Findings show that information and communication technology in East Azerbaijan province has not found its proper place and if the province wants to progress in this area, the strategies of the Defensive Group (WT), which is based on reducing weaknesses and avoiding threats, should be given priority. According to the results, the strategy of providing a suitable platform for e-businesses and creating a provincial unit for empowering Internet businesses to increase information security and empower ICT professionals and business idea owners in East Azerbaijan Province is recommended.
