javad khalilzadeh; hassan heidari; Hamid Reza Faaljou; Seyyed Jamaladdin Mohseni Zonouzi
Abstract
Despite the favorable benefits of world tread organization membership on the economy, may also have undesirable adverse effects. So the countries that have infra-structure preparations for this phenomenon and have done sufficient studies before entering World Trade Organization can change threats into ...
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Despite the favorable benefits of world tread organization membership on the economy, may also have undesirable adverse effects. So the countries that have infra-structure preparations for this phenomenon and have done sufficient studies before entering World Trade Organization can change threats into opportunity and use advantages to the best. Therefore we have tried to study effects of membership to WTO on a small part of the Iran economy. To this aim by proposing a hypothesis, an economic mathematical model was designed and has been tested. In order to study and analyze the relations among variables, we used annual time series data of 1978-2011 and by using of Microfit software and Johansen convergence method, and it was already known that there is a long term balance relation among variables and estimated the coefficients of model. Gained results of "Johanson-Juselius" tests confirmed long termco-integration relation among the variables of model and the existence of two co-integration vectors. Also in order to study structural failure and the stability of estimated coefficients of model we used "accumulation sum of recursive residuals" test that gained results of this test showed the stability of gained coefficients and finally by estimating models and analyzing of variance, it was cleared that trade liberalization index has effect on dependent variable of model.
Naser Shahnoushi
Abstract
Survey of Interaction Between the Agricultural Sector With Other Economic Sectors in Khorasan Provinces
Naser Shahnoushi
Associate Professor of agricultural economics ferdowsiUniversity of Mashhad
Fatemeh hayat gheibi
PhD Student of agricultural economics of Ferdowsi University of Mashhad
Mahmood ...
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Survey of Interaction Between the Agricultural Sector With Other Economic Sectors in Khorasan Provinces
Naser Shahnoushi
Associate Professor of agricultural economics ferdowsiUniversity of Mashhad
Fatemeh hayat gheibi
PhD Student of agricultural economics of Ferdowsi University of Mashhad
Mahmood Daneshvar
Professor of agricultural economics Ferdowsi University of Mashhad
Abstract
Considering the importance of agriculture for Iran economy and Khorasan provinces, present study has been done for investigating interaction and linkages between the agricultural sector with other economic sectors in Khorasan provinces. In order to do so, Khorasan Input-Output table for 1380 and hypothetical extraction method has been used. The results indicofe that two activities of agriculture (cultivation, horticulture sector and animal husbandry, aviculture, sericulture and apiculture sector) are key sectors and have great linkages with other economic sectors. In addition, these activities have stronger forward linkages with “Manufacture of food products and beverages, Manufacture of tobacco products”, “Manufacture of textiles” and “Restaurants”. Further, these have stronger backward linkages with “Road transport”, “Wholesale and retail trade; repair services” and “Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products”.
JEL Classification: Q1, D57, C67
Key words: Agricultural sector, Input-output table, backward and forward linkages, hypothetical extraction method
