تحلیل عوامل مؤثر بر تجارت درون صنعتی ایران با بلوک‌های منطقه‌ای

نوع مقاله : مقالات پژوهشی

نویسنده

• امیر رضا سوری

https://doi.org/10.22067/erd.v21i8.43932

چکیده

چکیده
مطالعة حاضر به دنبال تحلیل عوامل مؤثر بر تجارت درون صنعتی ایران با کشورهای طرف تجاری در بلوک‌های منطقه‌ای EU، ECO، GCC، D8، OIC و ASEAN به‌صورت متقابل و به تفکیک بخش‌های کشاورزی، صنعت و خدمات با استفاده از داده های تلفیقی دوره 1980-2009 مبتنی بر رویکرد مدل های تابلویی پویا و به‌کارگیری روش گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته است. برای توضیح تجارت درون صنعتی بین ایران و کشورهای طرف تجاری، متغیرهای اندازة اقتصادی، درآمد سرانه، سرمایه-گذاری مستقیم خارجی، مسافت و عدم توازن تجاری مورداستفاده قرارگرفته‌است. نتایج برآورد مدل نشان می دهد که اندازة اقتصادی، درآمد سرانه و مسافت مهم‌ترین متغیرهای توضیح دهندة تجارت درون صنعتی ایران و کشورهای طرف تجاری هستند. براساس یافته‌های پژوهش اندازة اقتصادی رابطة مثبت و درآمد سرانه رابطة منفی با تجارت درون صنعتی دارد. همچنین یافته های پژوهش نشان داد که مسافت و عدم توازن تجاری تأثیر معکوسی بر جریان تجارت درون صنعتی ایران و کشورهای طرف تجاری دارند.

کلیدواژه ها: تجارت درون صنعتی، بلوک‌های منطقه‌ای، داده‌های تابلویی پویا، مقیاس اقتصادی و روش گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته.
طبقه‌بندی JEL : C20, F12

کلیدواژه‌ها

• تجارت درون صنعتی
• بلوک‌های منطقه‌ای
• داده‌های تابلویی پویا
• مقیاس اقتصادی و روش گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته

عنوان مقاله [English]

Factors Affecting Intra-industry Trade Between Iran and Regional Blocs

نویسنده [English]

• Amir Reza Soori

چکیده [English]

Abstract
In this paper, we analyze the determinants of Intra-Industry trade (IIT) in the Agriculture, Industry and service sectors between Iran and her trading partners, i.e. European Union, ECO, GCC, D8, OIC and ASEAN countries using dynamic panel data and GMM during 1980-2009.
This study uses country-specific characteristics such as economic size, per capita income, foreign direct investment, geographical distance, and trade imbalance as explanatory variables. The results indicate that economic size, per capita income, and geographical distance explain most of IIT between Iran and her trading partners. According to econometric findings, the economic size has high and positive correlation with IIT, however per capita income affects negatively IIT. Thus, differences in aggregate demand and supply should be considered in selecting trade partners. The similarity in income structure leads to same demand structure and expansion of trade volume. In addition, geographical distance and trade imbalance has negative effect on IIT flow in Iran.

Keywords: Intra-industry Trade, Regional blocs, Dynamic, panel data, Economic scale, GMM

JEL Classification:C20 , F12.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

• Intra-industry Trade
• Regional blocs
• Dynamic
• Panel Data
• Economic scale
• GMM

مراجع

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