Strategic Analysis of the Status of Afghan Immigrants with an Economic Security Approach (Case Study: Isfahan Province )

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Ph.D. Candidate in Economic Security Studies

2 Faculty Member and Researcher in Economic Security

3 Ph.D. Candidate in International Relations

10.22067/erd.2026.96089.1331
Abstract
The growing migration of Afghan nationals to Iran, particularly to Isfahan Province, has brought about numerous economic challenges and opportunities. The present study was conducted to provide a strategic analysis of the employment status of Afghan immigrants in Isfahan Province using an economic security approach. This applied research adopted a mixed-methods (qualitative-quantitative) design. In the qualitative phase, strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) were extracted through semi-structured interviews with 12 provincial experts. Subsequently, in the quantitative phase, the strategic position of the province was evaluated by consulting 10 experts and developing Internal Factor Evaluation (IFE) and External Factor Evaluation (EFE) matrices. The results of the SWOT matrix revealed that the weight of structural weaknesses and environmental threats (such as currency outflow and the creation of job monopolies) outweighed the strengths and opportunities, thereby placing the management of this phenomenon in a "defensive" (WT) position. Finally, seven interventional strategies were prioritized using the Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix (QSPM) based on the opinions of four experts. The findings indicate that "reconsidering prohibited occupations and zones for foreign nationals by incorporating provincial considerations and preventing the prescription of uniform national blueprints" constitutes the most critical strategy to overcome the current situation and mitigate damages.

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Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 26 September 2026

  • Receive Date 29 October 2025
  • Revise Date 20 June 2026
  • Accept Date 09 September 2026