تاثیر هوش مصنوعی بر مشارکت اقتصادی بانوان (تحلیل تطبیقی جهان، اروپا و دنیای عرب)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

گروه اقتصاد، واحد مشهد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، مشهد، ایران

چکیده
اشتغال به‌عنوان یکی از ارکان اساسی تأمین رفاه، امنیت مالی، سلامت روان، هویت فردی و انسجام اجتماعی شناخته می‌شود و توانمندسازی زنان نقشی محوری در تحقق توسعه پایدار ایفا می‌کند. با این حال، پیشرفت هوش مصنوعی و خودکارسازی وظایف تکراری، برخی مشاغل سنتی را در معرض جایگزینی قرار داده است. هوش مصنوعی با قابلیت افزایش بهره‌وری تا 40 درصد و ایجاد جریان‌های درآمدی نوین، پتانسیل خلق فرصت‌های اقتصادی قابل توجهی دارد. علاوه بر چالش دیرینه نابرابری مشارکت اقتصادی زنان و مردان، کشورها با چالش بزرگتری روبه‌رو هستند که مشارکت اقتصادی هر دو گروه به خصوص بانوان را تحت تأثیر قرار می‌دهد. نوظهور بودن این حوزه، پژوهش حاضر با بهره‌گیری از رویکرد کمی و ساخت شاخص فناوری-آموزش از طریق روش تحلیل مؤلفه‌های اصلی PCA، به تحلیل رابطه میان این شاخص و نرخ بیکاری با مشارکت اقتصادی زنان در بازه زمانی 2019 تا 2023 در سطح جهانی پرداخته و مقایسه‌ای آماری بین اروپا (به‌عنوان منطقه‌ای توسعه‌یافته) و دنیای عرب شامل 22 کشور عربی (به‌عنوان منطقه‌ای در حال توسعه) با جهان انجام داده است. یافته‌ها نشان می‌دهد که در سطح جهانی، نرخ بیکاری با ضریب 1.14- و سطح معناداری0.047 p= تأثیر قابل توجهی دارد. در اروپا، شاخص فناوری-آموزش با ضریب 0.11 و 0.467 p= اثر کمتری نشان داد که حاکی از وجود زیرساخت‌های مناسب فناوری و آموزش برای زنان در این منطقه است. در مقابل، در جهان عرب، شاخص فناوری-آموزش با ضریب منفی معنادار 0.37- و 0.043 p= بیانگر این است که بدون اصلاحات ساختاری، فناوری ممکن است به حاشیه‌راندن زنان منجر شود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Women's Economic Participation (A Comparative Analysis of Global, European, and Arab world)

نویسندگان English

hakimeh hatef
aida gharavi
Ali akbar Sarvary
Department of economy, Ma.C. , Islamic azad University, Mashhad,Iran
چکیده English

Employment is a cornerstone of human existence, anchoring not only financial security but also mental well-being, personal identity, and social cohesion. In an era where economic systems are increasingly intertwined with technological advancements, the empowerment of women stands as a linchpin for achieving sustainable development and fostering inclusive growth. The rise of artificial intelligence (AI), heralded as a transformative force capable of boosting productivity by up to 40% and unlocking novel income streams, has sparked both excitement and apprehension. While AI promises to reshape economies by enhancing efficiency and creating new opportunities, it also raises critical questions about job displacement and equitable access to its benefits. Against this backdrop, this research embarks on an ambitious exploration of AI’s impact on women’s economic participation, a topic of profound significance given persistent gender inequalities that risk limiting women’s ability to capitalize on technological progress.The emergence of AI has accelerated debates about the future of work, with some envisioning a world of unprecedented prosperity and others warning of deepened inequities. For women, who have historically faced structural barriers in labor markets, the stakes are particularly high. AI’s potential to automate routine tasks and augment human capabilities could either dismantle these barriers or erect new ones, depending on how its benefits are distributed. Recognizing that gender disparities in economic participation slow the pace of development and diminish societal resilience, this study seeks to illuminate whether AI serves as a catalyst for women’s empowerment or a force that further marginalizes them. By delving into this question, the research aims to contribute to a more nuanced understanding of how technological revolutions can be harnessed to promote equity and justice.
This triadic approach not only broadens the scope of the findings but also underscores the importance of context in shaping technological outcomes. By benchmarking regional results against global statistics, the study reveals how economic, cultural, and institutional factors mediate the relationship between AI and women’s economic roles, offering insights that are both granular and universally relevant. Globally, the results paint a sobering picture. Unemployment emerged as a formidable barrier, with a statistically significant negative coefficient of -1.144 (p=0.047), indicating that rising joblessness markedly reduces women’s economic participation. This finding aligns with economic theory, which posits that labor market conditions are critical determinants of workforce engagement. In contrast, the technology-education index yielded a negligible and non-significant effect coefficient (-0.01, p=0.919). his lack of clarity may stem from the diverse economic landscapes and social norms across countries, which dilute the index’s global impact. The high and significant intercept (54.81, p=0.001) suggests a baseline level of participation influenced by unmodeled factors, such as cultural attitudes or policy frameworks. In Europe, a region synonymous with advanced infrastructure and progressive gender policies, the technology-education index showed a positive but non-significant effect (coefficient: 0.11, p=0.467). This suggests that while technology and education are abundant, their marginal contribution to women’s economic participation may be limited by market saturation or already high participation rates. Unemployment, with a negative coefficient of (-1.07, p=0.108), exhibited a borderline effect, likely due to smaller sample sizes or varied labor policies across European nations. The intercept (58.51, p=0.002) reflects a robust baseline participation rate, underscoring Europe’s structural advantages. In the Arab world, the findings were striking and cautionary. The technology-education index displayed a significant negative coefficient (-0.37, p=0.043), suggesting that increased access to technology and education may, paradoxically, correlate with reduced economic participation. This could reflect structural rigidities, skill mismatches, or cultural barriers that prevent women from translating technological advancements into economic gains. Unemployment also exerted a significant negative effect (coefficient: -0.49, p=0.040), reinforcing the labor market’s critical role. The lower intercept (27.26, p=0.005) highlights a more constrained baseline for women’s participation, shaped by regional socioeconomic realities. The study’s value lies in its methodological creativity and analytical depth.
The technology-education index represents a novel tool for dissecting AI’s socioeconomic impacts, offering a replicable framework for future research. The comparative analysis across global, European, and Arab contexts reveals the nuanced interplay of technology and gender, challenging one-size-fits-all narratives. By enriching the discourse on gender economics, this research provides policymakers with evidence to craft targeted interventions—whether by addressing unemployment globally, leveraging technology in Europe, or reforming labor markets in the Arab world. Ultimately, it inspires a vision of an equitable digital future, where AI empowers women to thrive as equal architects of progress.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Artificial Intelligence
Technology-Education Index
Unemployment Rate
Women’s Economic Participation
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